We Asked Americans To Explain Their 2022 Votes — And How They’re Thinking...
2022 Election We Asked Americans To Explain Their 2022 Votes — And How They’re Thinking About 2024 By Geoffrey Skelley and Holly Fuong and Geoffrey Skelley and Holly Fuong Graphics by Humera Lodhi...
View ArticleThe Voters Who Helped Democrats Keep the Senate
2022 Election The Voters Who Helped Democrats Keep the Senate How Democrats broadened Biden’s 2020 coalition in key states. Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, right, won an open Senate seat...
View ArticleWhat I’ve Learned After Seven Years Of Making The Politics Podcast
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he’s learned from covering the 2022 election and...
View Article33 Cool Charts We Made In 2022
2022 In Review 33 Cool Charts We Made In 2022 FIVETHIRTYEIGHT By FiveThirtyEight Dec. 20, 2022, at 6:00 AM In 2022, FiveThirtyEight’s visual journalists covered the midterm elections, the end of Roe...
View ArticleThese 5 Voters Of Color Don’t Want Biden vs. Trump In 2024
2022 Midterms These 5 Voters Of Color Don’t Want Biden vs. Trump In 2024 By Alex Samuels Dec. 21, 2022, at 6:00 AM PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER / GETTY IMAGES Welcome to Voices Of Color, a...
View ArticleWhat I Got Wrong In 2022
2022 In Review What I Got Wrong In 2022 By Nathaniel Rakich Dec. 28, 2022, at 6:00 AM PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER / GETTY IMAGES Here’s a prediction that 100 percent, absolutely, positively...
View ArticleThe Numbers That Defined 2022
2022 In Review The Numbers That Defined 2022 By Anna Rothschild Dec. 30, 2022, at 6:00 AM What a year 2022 has been. There was so … much … news. We saw record-high inflation, war in Ukraine, a...
View ArticleDo You Buy That … Young Voters Handed Democrats Wins In Close Races?
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver considers the impact young voters had on the midterm election results on “This Week.”
View ArticleWhat The 20 Republicans Who Voted Against Kevin McCarthy Have In Common
Congress What The 20 Republicans Who Voted Against Kevin McCarthy Have In Common By Nathaniel Rakich Jan. 4, 2023, at 9:57 AM Win McNamee / Getty Images The 20 Republicans who opposed Kevin McCarthy’s...
View Article3 Questions We Have About George Santos
Congress 3 Questions We Have About George Santos By Nathaniel Rakich Jan. 5, 2023, at 6:00 AM MANDEL NGAN / AFP / GETTY IMAGES Before the revelations, George Santos was the type of fresh face the...
View ArticleHow Our 2022 Midterm Forecasts Performed
2022 Election How Our 2022 Midterm Forecasts Performed Our model was always skeptical of the “red wave.” By Nate Silver Graphics by Ryan Best Feb. 2, 2023, at 11:30 AM PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY...
View ArticleThe Model Always Had Its Doubts About The Red Wave
In this installment of “Model Talk” on the FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast, Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. How did the polling...
View ArticleWill Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024?
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver breaks down President Biden’s reelection chances on “This Week.”
View ArticleThe Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022
Polling The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022 We’ve updated our pollster ratings. By Nathaniel Rakich Mar. 10, 2023, at 6:00 AM PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER / GETTY IMAGES Let’s give a...
View ArticleThe Polls Got It Right In 2022. Here Are The Pollsters To Trust.
Transcript Nathaniel Rakich: The death of polling has been greatly exaggerated. After the 2016 and 2020 elections, when the polls had a rough year, a lot of people wanted to leave them for dead. But in...
View ArticleWhy Is Biden Moving To The Political Center?
Transcript Nathaniel Rakich: Joe Biden is racing toward the political center. First, reports surfaced that his administration may resume detaining immigrant families who cross the border illegally....
View ArticleDobbs Turned Abortion Into A Huge Liability For Republicans
Abortion Dobbs Turned Abortion Into A Huge Liability For Republicans Support for abortion rights is higher than it's been in decades. By Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux Graphics by Humera Lodhi Jun. 22, 2023,...
View ArticleNonreligious Americans Are The New Abortion Voters
Abortion Nonreligious Americans Are The New Abortion Voters By Daniel Cox and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Daniel Cox and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux Jun. 29, 2023, at 6:00 AM Activists demonstrate in front...
View ArticleWhat 2020 Did — And Didn’t — Change About How Americans Vote
Election Administration What 2020 Did — And Didn’t — Change About How Americans Vote By Kaleigh Rogers Jul. 31, 2023, at 6:00 AM ABC News Photo Illustration / AP Photo In the ongoing experiment that...
View ArticleRon DeSantis Probably Didn’t Turn Florida Red
Ron DeSantis Ron DeSantis Probably Didn't Turn Florida Red The state was already changing in big ways before he was elected governor. By Nathaniel Rakich Sep. 11, 2023, at 2:34 PM ABC News Photo...
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