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We Asked Americans To Explain Their 2022 Votes — And How They’re Thinking...

2022 Election We Asked Americans To Explain Their 2022 Votes — And How They’re Thinking About 2024 By Geoffrey Skelley and Holly Fuong and Geoffrey Skelley and Holly Fuong Graphics by Humera Lodhi...

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The Voters Who Helped Democrats Keep the Senate

2022 Election The Voters Who Helped Democrats Keep the Senate How Democrats broadened Biden’s 2020 coalition in key states. Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, right, won an open Senate seat...

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What I’ve Learned After Seven Years Of Making The Politics Podcast

In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he’s learned from covering the 2022 election and...

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33 Cool Charts We Made In 2022

2022 In Review 33 Cool Charts We Made In 2022 FIVETHIRTYEIGHT By FiveThirtyEight Dec. 20, 2022, at 6:00 AM In 2022, FiveThirtyEight’s visual journalists covered the midterm elections, the end of Roe...

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These 5 Voters Of Color Don’t Want Biden vs. Trump In 2024

2022 Midterms These 5 Voters Of Color Don’t Want Biden vs. Trump In 2024 By Alex Samuels Dec. 21, 2022, at 6:00 AM PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER / GETTY IMAGES Welcome to Voices Of Color, a...

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What I Got Wrong In 2022

2022 In Review What I Got Wrong In 2022 By Nathaniel Rakich Dec. 28, 2022, at 6:00 AM PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER / GETTY IMAGES Here’s a prediction that 100 percent, absolutely, positively...

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The Numbers That Defined 2022

2022 In Review The Numbers That Defined 2022 By Anna Rothschild Dec. 30, 2022, at 6:00 AM What a year 2022 has been. There was so … much … news. We saw record-high inflation, war in Ukraine, a...

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Do You Buy That … Young Voters Handed Democrats Wins In Close Races?

FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver considers the impact young voters had on the midterm election results on “This Week.”

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What The 20 Republicans Who Voted Against Kevin McCarthy Have In Common

Congress What The 20 Republicans Who Voted Against Kevin McCarthy Have In Common By Nathaniel Rakich Jan. 4, 2023, at 9:57 AM Win McNamee / Getty Images The 20 Republicans who opposed Kevin McCarthy’s...

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3 Questions We Have About George Santos

Congress 3 Questions We Have About George Santos By Nathaniel Rakich Jan. 5, 2023, at 6:00 AM MANDEL NGAN / AFP / GETTY IMAGES Before the revelations, George Santos was the type of fresh face the...

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How Our 2022 Midterm Forecasts Performed

2022 Election How Our 2022 Midterm Forecasts Performed Our model was always skeptical of the “red wave.” By Nate Silver Graphics by Ryan Best Feb. 2, 2023, at 11:30 AM PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY...

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The Model Always Had Its Doubts About The Red Wave

In this installment of “Model Talk” on the FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast, Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. How did the polling...

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Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024?

FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver breaks down President Biden’s reelection chances on “This Week.”

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The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022

Polling The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022 We’ve updated our pollster ratings. By Nathaniel Rakich Mar. 10, 2023, at 6:00 AM PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER / GETTY IMAGES Let’s give a...

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The Polls Got It Right In 2022. Here Are The Pollsters To Trust.

Transcript Nathaniel Rakich: The death of polling has been greatly exaggerated. After the 2016 and 2020 elections, when the polls had a rough year, a lot of people wanted to leave them for dead. But in...

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Why Is Biden Moving To The Political Center?

Transcript Nathaniel Rakich: Joe Biden is racing toward the political center. First, reports surfaced that his administration may resume detaining immigrant families who cross the border illegally....

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Dobbs Turned Abortion Into A Huge Liability For Republicans

Abortion Dobbs Turned Abortion Into A Huge Liability For Republicans Support for abortion rights is higher than it's been in decades. By Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux Graphics by Humera Lodhi Jun. 22, 2023,...

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Nonreligious Americans Are The New Abortion Voters

Abortion Nonreligious Americans Are The New Abortion Voters By Daniel Cox and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Daniel Cox and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux Jun. 29, 2023, at 6:00 AM Activists demonstrate in front...

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What 2020 Did — And Didn’t — Change About How Americans Vote

Election Administration What 2020 Did — And Didn’t — Change About How Americans Vote By Kaleigh Rogers Jul. 31, 2023, at 6:00 AM ABC News Photo Illustration / AP Photo In the ongoing experiment that...

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Ron DeSantis Probably Didn’t Turn Florida Red

Ron DeSantis Ron DeSantis Probably Didn't Turn Florida Red The state was already changing in big ways before he was elected governor. By Nathaniel Rakich Sep. 11, 2023, at 2:34 PM ABC News Photo...

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